Saturday, September 22, 2007
The Long Term Occupation Of Iraq: The South Korea Model
In case you are not aware, Mr. Bush had found an idea to characterize the connection between the USA and Iraq in the future: that existing between South Korea and the USA.
As mentioned earlier, one of the main differences is that in the earlier conflict- more than 55 years ago and still US troops are there-North Korea invaded South Korea, whereas it was the USA itself which invaded Iraq.
Thus, we may wonder if there are to be other such South Korea models: invaded, de-stabilize, stay a few decades.
If you want a long, extended article about this, you will have to find it elsewhere.
I shall tell you what it would be:
It would be perfectly similar to a species of enslavement.
This form of slavery will try to prop up a puppet regime. After the passage of enough time, it may even try to re-institute some form of Iraqi Authority and set up a new Raj in Iraq.
The people of the USA will do what they do best: talk about it, do nothing, and listen to cable TV.
They will emulate the British public of the 19302 reading of the exploits of Mr. Gandhi.
Gad,sir! they will expostulate. Can't anything be done about this little fakir in a dhouti??!
It will be: don't those Iraqi sand monkeys know their place??!
The USA will dominate Iraq by force ( as evidenced by the War) or by domination and humiliation (as evidenced by Abu Ghraib).
The conflict between the peoples who image the situation in terms of Dar al Islam and Crusaders will exacerbate and effectively reduce security from terror.
In this period of time, constant strife and warfare will show up the ineffectiveness of whatever Iraqi government is in charge. Potential Iraqi leaders will be trained in the markets of war.
In the end, 100,000 troops will not prevail over millions of Iraqis.
The newly trained Iraqi leaders will tend to employ brutality, for they will have been trained in eras of discord and uncertainty.
(Citizens of the USA are fond of envisaging the new leaders of new democracies as being foreign examples of George Washington, Benjamin Franklin, John Adams, et allii. These august personages did go through a War of Revolution.
However, the important difference is that these people were born, brought up, and trained within a stable environment...not in an unstable zone of constant turmoil.)
In the end, the USA will leave. Whether it leaves with honor or not is totally up to the people of the USA.
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