I keep telling people things are speeding up. I started talking about it with Climate Change back in the day when the experts said things would take a century. Well, then they said 50 years, then it had suddenly last summer... or a couple of summers ago. Glacier melt-down went from a thing of the future - near future, but still future - to being a prime time event.
Same thing with worst case scenarios: businesses are confident that probabilities are small and worst-case won't happen, at least until our grandkids time - who will be the biggest bunch of hapless schnorrers around, the way we're going at things.
Hey! It's speeding up! Worst-cases happen right now! If you can't handle it, get out of the way. Black Swans are flying everywhere. The Science of Statistics does not change, but the events covered by statistics do, and they change remarkably!
Sunday, May 02, 2010
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2 comments:
SPEED has been the continuing topic filling my brain these last days. And wanting to have some control over what I let in. Thus the current post.
As we reinvent ourselves, what will we look like?
Maybe we'll fast in the fast, like you.
We will be Tommyknockers: galactic techies who text each other while driving at light speed, and who discover that "lol" spelled backwards is still funny.
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