The venerable Richard Cheney, Vice President of the USA, has observed that the surge of troops is working.
Among the proofs offerred is the fact that the 78 deaths of American troops in July 2007 is the lowest in a year.
This fact does have the illusion of being compelling.
However, we note that just as in northern climates, winter is the season when military activity tends to decline and slow down, in areas closer to the equator, summer is the season of lower military activity.
This is due to the heat.
Thus, it would be normal to expect a lower number of deaths due to fighting throughout the summer, this being due to decreased military activity as a whole.
UNFORTUNATELY, the 78 deaths in July 2007 is the HIGHEST number of deaths for any July during this war. Hence, one may conclude that if the number is higher in the slow period, one might be viewing an actual increase.
Richard Cheney is no fool, and he knows this. He has his reasons for this seeming oversight.
Furthermore, it is an odd situation where, after 4 years of fighting, the mightiest military power in history considers it progress that they are ostensibly making progress to stabilize the capital city of the invaded country.
It is an odd situation where progress is claimed when the Green Zone is subject to rocket attacks which appear to be getting more accurate.
Richard Cheney blames the Iranians.
That is probably true. Iran cannot allocate gasoline without causing its citizens to riot, so I suppose they are the mightiest power in the Middle East.
Picture:http://existentialistcowboy.blogspot.com/
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